What is Weibull modulus?
The parameter m of the Weibull distribution that expresses how small the scatter in strength is. The larger it is, the smaller the scatter: about 5–20 for ceramics and several tens or more for metals.
Japanese name: ワイブル係数
Weibull modulus appears in 2 practice questions across 1 topic, including Ceramics and glasses.
Field: Ceramics and glasses
The Weibull distribution and the meaning of m
From the weakest-link idea, in which strength is set by the largest flaw, the strength of brittle materials is often described by the Weibull distribution of failure probability Pf = 1 − exp[−(σ/σ₀)^m]. σ₀ is the scale strength at which the failure probability is about 63.2%, and m is the Weibull modulus, which expresses how small the scatter is. The coefficient of variation of strength (standard deviation/mean) is roughly 1.2/m: about 12% for m = 10 and about 6% for m = 20. Since m reflects how uniform the flaw sizes are, it is also used as an indicator of manufacturing quality.
Finding it from data
The strengths of n specimens are ranked from smallest to largest, and the failure probability of the i-th is estimated as (i − 0.5)/n, (i − 0.3)/(n + 0.4) or similar. Plotting ln ln[1/(1 − Pf)] on the vertical axis against ln σ on the horizontal gives a straight line whose slope is m. However, m found by least squares from this plot is easily biased when there are few specimens, so standards such as ASTM C1239 use maximum likelihood estimation. The fewer the specimens, the wider the uncertainty (confidence interval) of m, so a reliable m calls for specimens numbering in the tens.
Strength and scatter are different things
A large m means the strength is uniform, not that it is high. A material with high mean strength but small m includes pieces that fail at low stress. Also, m and σ₀ depend on the test method; even for the same material, a tensile test, which stresses a larger volume, gives lower strengths than a bending test. In metals, yielding blunts crack tips, so strength scatter is small and m reaches several tens or more; Weibull statistics are therefore rarely used in their design.
The stress allowed in design
For ceramic parts, the allowable stress is set from a target failure probability. For a failure probability of 10⁻⁶, the allowable stress is (10⁻⁶)^(1/m) times σ₀: about 0.25 times for m = 10 and about 0.50 times for m = 20. This shows that raising m is about as effective in design as raising the strength itself. In addition, the difference in effective volume between part and specimen is corrected for, and proof testing, which applies a stress above the service stress before shipment to weed out weak pieces, is combined to ensure reliability.
FAQ
Why is the failure probability 63.2% at σ₀?
Substituting σ = σ₀ into the equation gives Pf = 1 − exp(−1) = 1 − 1/e ≈ 0.632. σ₀ is also called the characteristic strength; it is close to the mean strength but is not the mean itself.
How many specimens are needed to find the Weibull modulus?
There is no fixed number, but the estimation error grows as the number decreases, so tests on the order of tens of specimens are desirable. With about 10 specimens the estimate of m can deviate greatly from the true value, so a confidence interval should be reported as well.
Why is the Weibull modulus not used for the strength of metals?
Plastic deformation blunts crack tips in metals, so strength depends little on flaw size and scatters only slightly. Metals are therefore normally handled with ordinary statistics using the mean and standard deviation.